Progressive Corp Stock Analysis

PGR Stock  USD 204.52  0.01  0%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Progressive Corp extending back to November 05, 1984. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Progressive Corp stands at 204.52, as last reported on the 16th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 208.83 and the lowest price hitting 202.00 during the day.
IPO Date
9th of July 1986
200 Day MA
240.1815
50 Day MA
215.4046
Beta
0.318
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Progressive Corp holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.432. At this time, Progressive Corp's Debt Equity Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/16/2026, Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 0.13, while Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 427 M. Progressive Corp's financial risk is the risk to Progressive Corp stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Progressive Corp's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Progressive Corp's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Progressive Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Progressive Corp's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Progressive Corp, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Progressive Corp, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Progressive Corp's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
3.9533
Enterprise Value Ebitda
21.8519
Price Sales
1.3681
Shares Float
583.9 M
Dividend Share
13.9
Given that Progressive Corp's debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which Progressive Corp is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of Progressive Corp to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, Progressive Corp is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of Progressive Corp's assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
At this time, Progressive Corp's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year. . At this time, Progressive Corp's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/16/2026, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 30.80, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 6.26.
Progressive Corp is fairly valued with Real Value of 210.27 and Target Price of 241.6. The main objective of Progressive Corp stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Progressive Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Progressive Corp's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Progressive Corp stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Progressive Corp is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Progressive Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Progressive Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
To learn how to invest in Progressive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Progressive Corp guide.

Progressive Stock Analysis Notes

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Progressive Corp was at this time reported as 51.74. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.23. Progressive Corp last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The entity had 4:1 split on the 19th of May 2006. The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial auto, personal residential and commercial property, general liability, and other specialty property-casualty insurance products and related services in the United States. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio. Progressive Corp operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 49077 people. To find out more about Progressive Corp contact Susan Griffith at 440 461 5000 or learn more at https://www.progressive.com.

Progressive Corp Investment Alerts

Progressive Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Progressive Corp has 86.49 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Progressive to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Progressive Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of January 2026 Progressive Corp paid $ 13.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FAF Q4 Earnings Top, Revenues Rise YY on Strong Title Segment

Progressive Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Progressive Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2000-11-15
2000-09-300.030.040.0133 
2000-07-20
2000-06-300.020.01-0.0150 
2000-01-27
1999-12-310.020.01-0.0150 
View All Earnings Estimates

Progressive Corp Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Progressive Corp's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Progressive Corp's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Progressive Corp's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Progressive Corp's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Progressive Corp Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Progressive Corp stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
FinTech Idea
FinTech
A collection of large financial service, investment, and banking companies

Progressive Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Capital Research Global Investors2025-06-30
8.9 M
Gqg Partners Llc2025-06-30
8.5 M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
8.1 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32025-06-30
7.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
7.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
6.1 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2025-06-30
5.2 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
5.2 M
Nuveen, Llc2025-06-30
5.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
54.5 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
47.6 M
Note, although Progressive Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Progressive Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 119.9 B.

Progressive Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.13 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.17 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.17 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.14  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Equity 2.23  2.34 

Management Efficiency

Progressive Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0792 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0792 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.4045 %, implying that it generated $0.4045 on every 100 dollars invested. Progressive Corp's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Progressive Corp manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 02/16/2026, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.12. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.17. At this time, Progressive Corp's Return On Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 7.76  7.56 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.76  7.21 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.23  16.38 
Price Book Value Ratio 29.34  30.80 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.23  16.38 
Price Fair Value 29.34  30.80 
Enterprise Value13.2 B13.8 B
At Progressive Corp, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.0677
Operating Margin
0.165
Profit Margin
0.129
Forward Dividend Yield
0.068
Beta
0.318

Technical Drivers

As of the 16th of February 2026, Progressive Corp holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 14494.53, risk adjusted performance of 0.0098, and Semi Deviation of 1.48. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Progressive Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Progressive Corp variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Progressive Corp is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 204.52 per share. Given that Progressive Corp has jensen alpha of (0.01), we recommend you to check out Progressive Corp's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Progressive Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Progressive Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Progressive Corp insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Progressive Corp's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Progressive Corp insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Progressive Corp Outstanding Bonds

Progressive Corp issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Progressive Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Progressive bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Progressive Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Progressive Corp Predictive Daily Indicators

Progressive Corp intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Progressive Corp stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Progressive Corp Corporate Filings

8K
28th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
17th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
1st of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
24th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Progressive Corp Forecast Models

Progressive Corp's time-series forecasting models are one of many Progressive Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Progressive Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Progressive Corp Bond Ratings

Progressive Corp financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Progressive Corp have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Progressive Corp's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
4
PoorView
Beneish M Score
(2.64)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Progressive Corp Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Progressive Corp, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Progressive Corp has 86.49 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Progressive to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.

Progressive Corp Total Assets Over Time

Progressive Corp Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Progressive Corp uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Progressive Corp Debt Ratio

    
  13.0   
It seems most of the Progressive Corp's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Progressive Corp's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Progressive Corp, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Progressive Corp Corporate Bonds Issued

Progressive Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

8.32 Billion

At this time, Progressive Corp's Short and Long Term Debt Total is relatively stable compared to the past year.

About Progressive Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Progressive Corp prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Progressive shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Progressive Corp. By using and applying Progressive Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Progressive entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.28 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.26 

Current Progressive Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Progressive analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Progressive analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
241.6Buy19Odds
Progressive Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Progressive analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Progressive stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Progressive Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Progressive conference calls.
Progressive Analyst Advice Details

Progressive Stock Analysis Indicators

Progressive Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Progressive Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Progressive Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Progressive Corp stock analysis, traders can identify Progressive Corp position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow100 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding588.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity4.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.7 B
Tax Provision2.9 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.252
Cash And Short Term Investments92.8 B
50 Day M A215.4046
Other Operating Expenses67.1 B
Forward Price Earnings12.7877
Stock Based Compensation122 M

Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis

When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.